Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...

Presidential historian Allan Lichtman, 77, is a distinguished professor of history at American University and has predicted ...

Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we ...

We're just one day away from Election Day. With less than 24 hours until Tuesday's presidential election begins, voters will ...

Curious to know who's leading the polls? Here's when Ohio counts ballots, absentee ballot drop off, 2024 presidential ...

ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.1% over Trump 46.7% - by 1.4%, a slimmer margin yet again ...

Polls from 538, 270toWin, and RealClear show Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a tight race as Election Day nears.

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

538's final presidential election forecast. Katie Marriner and Amina Brown for 538 And that's why we've been saying the race isn't necessarily going to be close just because the polls are.

according to data from FiveThirtyEight. The site provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and ...