Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 - Election Day - millions more will join them. Their votes this year will matter ...

538's final presidential election forecast. Katie Marriner and Amina Brown for 538 And that's why we've been saying the race isn't necessarily going to be close just because the polls are.

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

Will Donald Trump or Kamala Harris be the next president? Here is what polls, odds and historians say voters head to the ...