Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

A week after a convincing election victory, president-elect Donald Trump remains more popular than current president Joe Biden. But both are upside down when it comes to their approval ratings, ...

The map was created before Election Day 2024 as a prediction of how women might vote. In early November 2024, a map spread on ...

Donald Trump outperformed expectations for his third straight presidential election, which will surely raise more questions about pollsters’ ability to gauge where elections stand. Trump pulled ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

But over on the betting platform Polymarket, the odds were much more solidly in former President ... he told me, ...

Election modeling has become a serious racket ever since Nate Silver, founder of FiveThirtyEight but now working ...

The former Fox News host called out pollsters following Trump's victory, describing their predictions as a "complete and total failure." ...

Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...

The Iowa pollster, renowned for her accuracy, has promised to review the data after her pre-election poll was far out of line with the results.

Follow ABC for live 2024 election updates. Keep on top of the latest polls and electoral map results as Kamala Harris and ...

It's officially Election Day 2024! Who's winning the latest U.S. presidential election? Current polls, odds, results in Ohio.